sealPurdue News

February 22, 2002

March 1 talk focuses on predicting economic crises

WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. – Vladimir Keilis-Borok, an expert on the predictability of chaotic systems, will speak at Purdue University at 4 p.m. Friday, March 1, on predicting economic crises.

In his talk, Keilis-Borok will review recently emerging indicators that can be used to predict abrupt changes in socioeconomic systems. The talk will include information on unemployment in the United States and Western Europe and a review of economic recessions in the United States.

The talk, to be in Room 108 of the Krannert Center for Executive Education and Research, is free and open to the public. The event is co-sponsored by the Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences in Purdue's School of Science and the Krannert School of Management's Department of Economics.

Keilis-Borok is director of the Russian Academy of Sciences' International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics and a professor-in-residence at the Center for Planetary Chemistry and Physics at the University of California in Los Angeles.

His fields of research include mathematical and computational problems of solid Earth sciences and the general problem of predictability of chaotic systems, with applications ranging from seismology to social, economic and political sciences.

He is the member of U.S., Russian, Austrian and Pontifical Academies of Sciences; American Academy of Arts and Sciences; and Royal Astronomical Society.

CONTACT: Jay Wolf, Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, (765) 494-4753,

Purdue News Service: (765) 494-2096;

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